Thursday, 7 August 2014

آزادی مارچ اور حکومت کا مستقبل

وزےراعظم نواز شرےف نے کہا ہے کہ ان کی حکومت کو کسی لانگ مارچ سے کوئی خطرہ نہےںہے۔اس کے ساتھ ہی اپوزےشن جماعتوں سے اپےل کی ہے کہ اس کشتی کو نہ ڈبو ئےں جس پر سب سوار ہےں۔ان کے بےان مےں احتجاجی مارچوں کے دباو ¿ اور حکومت کی خوفزدگی نما ےاں ہے۔دوسری جانب تحر ےک انصاف کے سر براہ عمران خان نے اعلان کےا ہے کہ وہ بادشاہت ختم کر نے اسلام آباد جا رہے ہےںاور نئے پاکستان کے بننے تک اپنادھرنا جا ری رکھےں گے۔وفا قی وزےر اطلاعات پروےز رشےد کا کہنا ہے کہ اگر14اگست کو آزادی مارچ کے موقع پر دہشت گردی ہوئی تو زمہ دار تحر ےک انصاف ہوگی۔ جبکہ تحر ےک انصاف کے رہنما شاہ محمود قر ےشی کا کہنا ہے کہ کسی نا خو شگوار واقعہ کی صورت مےں زمہ داری حکومت پر عا ئد ہوگی،عوامی مسلم لےگ کے واحد رکن قومی اسمبلی شےخ رشےد کا دعو یٰ ہے کہ آزادی مارچ کی نوبت ہی نہےں آ ئے گی اور14اگست سے قبل ہی تبد ےلی ہو جا ئے گی۔پروےز مشر ف پر آئےن شکنی کے مقد مہ کی سماعت پےر کو ہو رہی ہے۔بعض حلقوں کا خےال ہے کہ اگر حکومت سےاسی درجہ حرارت مےں فوری طور پر کمی لانا چا ہتی ہے توا سے14اگست سے پہلے کم از کم پر وےز مشرف کو ملک سے باہر جانے کی اجازت دےنی ہو گی۔پےر کوان کے مقدمہ کی سماعت کے دوران ےا اس کے بعد صورتحال مےں تبد ےلی کا اشارہ مل سکتا ہے۔حکومت نے وفاقی دارالحکومت تےن ماہ کے لئے آ رٹےکل245کے تحت فوج کے حوالے کر نے کا فےصلہ کر رکھا ہے۔ لےکن اس فےصلے پر عملدرآمد اور حکومت کے مفاد مےں نتائج برآمد کر نے کے لئے پاک فوج کا تعاون اہمےت کا حامل ہے۔پاکستان کی تارےخ مےں سول ملٹری تعلقات مےں مسلسل موجود عدم توازن کے پےش نظر کہا جا سکتا ہے کہ حکومت کو فوج کے ساتھ تعلقات کو بہتر بنا نے پر توجہ دےنی ہوگی اوراس مقصد کے لئے پر وےز مشرف کے مقد مے اور جےو‘ آئی اےس آئی تنازعہ مےںحکومت کی پوزےشن کی تبد ےلی اولےن شر ط ہے۔ دےکھنا ےہ ہے کہ نواز شر ےف صورتحال کی کشےد گی کم کر نے اور سےاسی قا ئدےن سے نمٹنے کے لئے فوج کو ساتھ ملانے مےں کامےاب ہو تے ہےں ےا نہےں۔ اگر شر ےف برادران نے ماضی کی طرح ہٹ دھر می کا روےہ بر قرار رکھا اور فوج کو بھی سو ےلےن اداروں کی طرح استعمال کر نے کی روش تبد ےل نہ کی تو245کے نفاد کے نتا ئج اس طر ح نکلنے کا خطرہ موجود رہے گا جس طرح ماضی مےں سامنے آتا رہا ہے۔ جمہوری عمل کا دفاع کر نے کے لئے جمہوری قا ئدےن کو با لغ نظری اور سنجےدگی کا مظا ہر ہ کر نا ہوگا۔

Monday, 4 August 2014

حکومت شائد آنے والے دنوں کو آسان لے رہی ہے 

حکومت نے ڈاکٹر طاہرالقادری کے خطاب اور یوم شہداءکے اعلان کے چند سیکنڈ کے اندر جس رد عمل کا اظہار کیا ہے اسے دیکھ کر یہی لگتا ہے کہ حکومت آنے والے دنوں کو آسان سمجھ رہی ہے اور اسے یقین ہے کہ یہ احتجاج اس کا کچھ نہیں بگاڑ سکتا ۔عین ممکن ہے کہ اس کومشیروں کی جانب سے ڈٹے رہنے کا مشورہ دیا گیا ہو ، یہ الفاظ پرویز رشید اپنی ذاتی حیثیت میں استعمال نہیں کر سکتے تھے ۔انہوں نے جو کچھ کہا ہے وہ حکومت کی سوچ کی ترجمانی کے سوا کچھ نہیں ۔تاہم عام آدمی کوبیان سے مایوسی ہوئی ۔عام آدمی کا خیال تھا کہ تیسری مرتبہ وزارت عظمیٰ کے منصب تک پہنچنے سے پہلے وزیر اعظم محمد نواز شریف نے مکمل ہوم ورک کیا ہوگا ۔دو مرتبہ حکومت کی قبل از وقت برطرفی سے کچھ نہ کچھ سبق ضرور سیکھا ہو گا ۔لیکن سیاسی معاملات میں مسلسل ٹال مٹول سے کام لیا گیا اور تاخیری حربے اختیار کئے گئے انہیں دیکھنے کے بعد عام آدمی یہی نتیجہ اخذ کرتا ہے کہ حکومت کی سوئی 1998پر اٹکی ہوئی ہے ۔
انتخابات کے فوری بعد ملک کی تمام پارٹیوں نے انتخابات کے حوالے سے عدم اطمینان کا اظہار کیا تھا ۔دھاندلی کی شکایات ہر پارٹی نے کیں ۔اس میں خود مسلم لیگ ن بھی شامل تھی ۔پاکستان تحریک انصاف نے کراچی میں جن حلقوں میں ووٹوں کی دوبارہ گنتی کرائی وہاں حیران کن انکشافات ہوئے ۔ایک وسیم نامی شخص کے بارے میں کہا گیا کہ اس نے 70ووٹ ڈالے ہیں ۔ سینکڑوں ووٹرز ایسے نکلے جو اس حلقے میں نہیں رہتے تھے ۔دھاندلی کے اتنے بڑے شواہد سامنے آنے کے بعد الیکشن کمیشن کی جانب سے ذمہ داران کے خلاف سرے سے کوئی کارروائی نہیں کی ۔کسی عہدیدار کو رسمی شوکاز نوٹس تک جاری نہیں کیا گیا ۔اس خاموشی کے صرف ایک ہی معنی ہو سکتا ہے کہ حکومت دھاندلی کے نتیجے میں وجود میں آئی ہے ۔اسی لئے دھاندلی کے شواہد سامنے آجانے کے بعد کسی کے خلاف قانون حرکت میں نہیں آیا ۔اھر پی ٹی آئی نے لاہور کے چار انتخابی حلقوں میںووٹوں کی دوبارہ گنتی پر اصرار کیا تو حکومت نے ایوان کے معزز فلور پر نہ صرف مذکورہ چار حلقوں میں دوبارہ گنتی کی یقین دہانی کرائی بلکہ یہ بھی کہا کہ 40حلقوں میں تحقیقات کے لئے تیار ہے ۔لیکن یہ یہ محض لفاظی تھی ،حکمت اس اقداسم کے لئےذہنی طور پر کبھی تیار نہیں تھی ۔اسکا نتیجہ یہی نکل سکتا تھا کہ حکومت وقت گذرنے کے عاتھ دفاعی پوزیشن پر چلی جائے ۔اس دوران لاہور میں 14افراد کی پولیس کے ہاتھوں ہلاکت اور 100کے لگ بھگ زخمی ہونے سے سیاسی ماحول میں زبردست کشیدگی پیدا ہو گئی ۔
اب دونوں معاملات یکجا ہو کر حکومت کے لئے ایک بڑا چیلنج بن چکے ہیں ۔حکومت کی جانب سے تا حال ایسا کوئی اشارہ نہیں ملا جسے بنیاد بنا کر عام آدمی یہ سوچے کہ حکومت بیچ کا کوئی راستہ نکالنے میں کامیاب ہو جائے گی ۔وفاقی وزیر اطلاعات پرویز رشید کے تازہ بیان کے بعد یہی نظر آ رہا ہے کہ حکومت نے سیاسی مسائل کو انتظامی طریقے سے حل کرنے کا تہیہ کیا ہوا ہے ۔ حالانکہ اسلام آباد میں پولیس کی پسپائی کے بعد حکومت عوامی ناراضگی دور کرنے کے لئے بہتر حکمت عملی اختیار کر سکتی تھی ۔اب بھی حکومت کے پاس ایک ہفتہ ہے ،سوچ سمجھ کر مناسب اقدامات کئے جائیں جن میں چارحلقوں کی دوبارہ گنتی اور واقعہ لاہور کی ایف آئی آر میں عملی پیش رفت شامل ہے ۔ سیاسی معاملات کا سیاسی حل تلاش کرنا چاہیے ، دوسرے راستے بند گلی کی جانب جاتے ہیں ۔

Saturday, 26 July 2014


Israel Kurdistan and ISIS

The Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu few days ago expressed his support for the creation of a fully Independent Kurdistan in Northern Iraq. It is said that before the statement of Netanyahu, some  Israeli cabinet ministers met Kurdish leaders. After the meeting, Mr.Netanyahu openly favored the creation of Kurdish statehood in northern Iraq by saying “ We should support the Kurdish aspiration for independence, Kurds is a nation of fighters who have proved political commitment and are worthy of independence”. There can be sundry reasons for Isreali PM Support for Free Kurdistan.
The prime factor might be the rise of Sunni militant organization ISIS in Iraq, which has flabbergasted many by their fighting strength. They are fighting with the ambition to capture whole Iraq and if they do so, then Israel has reasons to worry. It is already not short of perilous foes like Syria, Iran, HAMAS and Hezbullah. The victory of ISIS, which believe in the caliphate system, will create another rival for Israel. With coming of ISIS in power in Iraq, it can become the base for Al-Qaeda fighters who can any time turn their guns against the Israel.
The secular sovereign Kurdistan is the only hope for Israel to contain the influence of ISIS. Kurd is a martial race and they have a long history of fighting much stronger opponents. In the medieval period, ,they have resisted all the foreign invasion and fought mighty imperial powers .Over the years, they have been courageously fighting against the powerful states like Turkey, Iran, Syria and Iraq. These states have resorted to brutal use to use of force to suppress the Kurdish movement, but they have failed to do so. Not surprisingly, they are now battling and resisting the militants of ISIS.
Many believe that the motive behind the Israel’s support of Free Kurdistan is to find a ally in the region. But, the alliance of Kurds and Jews is centuries old. During the reign of Ottoman Empire, they had cordial relations. The Ottoman Empire always used the Jews to meditate between ottoman rulers and insurgent tribal Kurds. This symbolizes the trust between them. Iran and Syria have accused the president of Iraqi Kurdistan of having contact with Israel and Mr Masood.Barzani, the  President of Iraqi Kurdistan didn’t denied it he said” establishing relations between Kurds and Israel is not a crime since many Arab countries have ties with the Jewish state.”
Apart from political alliance, there is also a genetic bond between Kurds and Jews A team of German ,Indian and Israeli specialists published the result of their research that proved Kurds and Jews belong to the same ethnicity . Thus, the alliance of Israel and Kurds is not a new phenomenon, it is a old one. However, Mr. Netanyahu will be criticized for his statement, especially by those countries, whom, interests are contrary to the creation of Independent Kurdistan like Turkey, Iran, Syria and even Pakistan.
Kurd is nation without a country. The land of Kurds is divided into four countries, Turkey, Iran , Syria  and Iraq. The Kurds of the four countries never had harmonious relations with the governments of these countries. They have never given up their dream of United or Greater Kurdistan, which comprises the Kurdistan of all the four countries.
Turkey’s major concern about Independent Kurdistan in Iraq will be that, it will motivate Kurds of Turkey. As the rebel Kurds of Turkey will find safe havens in the Independent State and they will launch their strike from there to Turkey. The Kurd uprising has already proved to be very costly for Turkey. It has affected her tourism industry, owing to human right abuses in Turkish Kurdistan, it has not been given the status of permanent membership of European Union.
Iran and Syria have reservation on Free Kurdistan. The liberal Sunni Kurds are living as second class citizen in a theocratic Shia State Iran. The Kurds of Iran are hostile to the government and they have carried out their armed resistance against the state forces. Iran fears that Free Kurdistan can become a base for Irani Kurds. Syria also has the same concern.
Last, but not least, the sole nuclear power of the Islamic World, Pakistan will not like creation of Independent Kurdistan. There are two reasons for this. Firstly, Pakistan has a history of supporting the governments against the rebellion movements. For instance, supporting the Srilankan government in crushing the menace of Tamil Tigers. It has always helped Middle Eastern monarchs in suppressing the civil uprisings. Secondly, Pakistan worry that Free Kurdistan can create more unrest in her restive province Balochistan. Baloch are the first cousins of Kurds. Despite the fact that Balochs and Kurds live in two different regions, the spirit of brotherhood exist between the two nations. Historians of both the nations have kept alive the ethnic unity. Social Media have brought them more closer. Balochs and Kurds have expressed solidarity with one another through various sites on Social Media.
Pakistan will feel insecure that Free Kurdistan can become the second home of Baloch separatists and they will find safe havens there. The same concern will be share by Iran because Iranian Balochistan has been a source of constant problems for the state, where groups like Jaish e Adl and Jundullah have been involved in kidnapping and killing of State forces.
The statement of Israeli PM should be extolled on humanitarian point of view because Kurds have been victim of barbaric use of force in different countries. But, the Free Kurdistan only in northern Iraq is not the final solution. Kurds of other three countries will again suffer from brutal use of force. Free Kurdistan will create more anarchy and unrest in and outside the region. The result will be more bloodshed and chaos. It is time for the super powers like USA and UK and more importantly UN, to settle the long dispute of Kurdistan in a peaceful way, which should be in accordance with the International Law.

Friday, 25 July 2014

ایسے بلدیاتی انتخابات کا کیا فائدہ ؟

بلوچستان میں بلدیاتی انتخابات کو ایک سال بیت چکا ، لیکن کسی بلدیاتی دفتر کا دروازہ نہیں کھلا ۔تالے لگے ہوئے ہیں ۔یہ اس امر کا منہ بولتا ثبوت ہے کہ بلدیاتی انتخابات کے بعد کسی کو ان تالوں کے حوالے سے کوئی دلچسپی نہیں ہے ۔پورے ملک میں بلدیاتی نظام سیاسی جماعتوں کی بے رخی کا شکار ہے ۔دوسرے صوبوں میں ابھی انتخابات کا مرحلہ بھی طے نہیں کیا جا سکا ۔عدلیہ کے بس میں جو کچھ تھا ، وہ کر چکی ۔لیکن صوبائی حکومتیں جیت گئیں ۔انتخابات نہ ہونے تھے ، نہ ہو سکے ۔بلوچستان کی حکومت نے ہمت کی اور انتخابات کرا دیئے ، جو ادھورے ثابت ہوئے ۔بلدیاتی نظام کا راستہ دوسرے طریقے سے روک دیا گیا ۔دلچسپ امر یہ ہے کہ کسی کو مورد الزام بھی نہیں ٹھہرایا جا سکتا۔تم قتل کو ہو کہ کرامات کرو ہو ، والی کیفیت ہے ۔جس ملک میں سیاست داں خود بلدیاتی اداروں کے مخالف ہوں ،انہوں نے کبھی بلدیاتی انتخابات نہیں کرائے ۔یہ تاریخی ریکارڈ صرف پاکستان کے سیاست دانوں نے قائم کیا ہے ۔ حالانکہ آئین میں یہ پابندی عائد کی گئی ہے ۔ جو صرف دکھانے کے کام آتی ہے ۔یہ سوال نیا نہیں کہ ہمارے سیاست دان بلدیاتی نظام کے مخالف کیوں ہیں ؟لیکن اس کا جواب ابھی تک سامنے نہیں آیا ۔یہ بحث ابھی سنجیدگی سے شروع ہی نہیں ہوئی ۔

عام آدمی کی رائے یہ ہے کہ بلدیاتی اداروں کے قیام سے اراکین اسمبلی کی چوہدراہٹ کو دھچکا لگتا ہے ۔عام آدمی گلی کی نالی پختہ کرانے کے لئے ان کا محتاج نہیں رہتا ۔ اس کے مسائل مقامی سطح پر حل ہونا شروع ہو جاتے ہیں ۔یہ بات اراکین اسمبلی کو پسند نہیں۔وہ عام آدمی کو دست بستہ اپنے دروازے کے سامنے کھڑا دیکھنا چاہتے ہیں ۔تاکہ ان کی انا کو قرار ملے ۔دوسری وجہ یہ سمجھی جاتی ہے کہ فنڈز کی خورد برد ان کے ہاتھ سے نکل جانے کا اندیشہ لاحق ہوتا ہے ۔سونے کی چڑیا اپنے ہاتھ سے کوئی نکلنے نہیں دے گا ۔فنڈز سے سب کو پیار ہے ۔بلدیاتی ادارے کام کرنا شروع کردیں تو یہ فنڈز علاقائی بلدیاتی نمائندوں کے ہاتھ سے یا ان کی نگرانی میں خرچ ہوں گے ۔اس طرح چوہدراہٹ کے ساتھ مالی منفعت سے بھی ہاتھ دھونا پڑتے ہیں ۔سابق حکومت اپنے پانچ سال اسی ٹال مٹول میں نکال گئی ، موجودہ حکومت بھی ایک سال دو مہینے نکالنے میں کامیاب رہی ہے ۔توقع کی جانی چاہیے کہ باقی مدت بھی اسی ٹال مٹول کی نذر ہو جائے گی ، بشرطیکہ کوئی انہونی نہ ہو گئی ۔
یہ محض بہانہ ہے کہ عدالت میں مقدمہ چل رہا ہے ۔اس لئے کہ فریقین اگر چاہیں تو مقدمہ کی سماعت تیزی سے ہو سکتی ہے ۔اس لئے کہ موجودہ عدالتی طریقہ کار کے مطابق تاریخ سماعت کا تعین دونوں طرف کے وکلاءکی باہمی رضامندی سے طے کیا جاتا ہے ۔اور ججز کی نوٹ شیٹ پر یہ لکھا جاتا ہے فریقین کی مشاورت سے سماعت آئند تاریخ تک ملتوی کر دی گئی ہے۔یہ جملہ ساری حقیقت کو بے نقاب کرنے کے لئے کافی ہے ۔اگر ایک فریق حکومت ہو تو تاخیری حربوں میں مزیدآسانی ہو جاتی ہے ۔سرکاری وکیل کے ٹھاٹ باٹ الگ ہوتے ہیں ۔اور کوئی بہانہ نہ ہوتو یہ بہانہ ہی کافی ہے کہ میں حکومت سے پوچھ کر بتاﺅں گا ۔
حکومت اپنی آئینی ذمہ داری پوری کرے ۔عدالت میں سرکاری وکیل کو اس امر کا پابند بنائے کہ وہ جلد فیصلہ کے حصول میں عدلیہ سے تعاون کرے۔بلدیاتی اداروں کو فنکشنل بنایا جائے تاکہ عام آدمی کو مقامی نوعیت کے مسائل سے نجات مل سکے ۔

Tuesday, 10 June 2014

Boko Haram reached Balochistan


Boko means western education and Haram means prohibited. Thus, the meaning of Radical Islamic Organization of Nigeria is western education is prohibited in Islam. After the abduction of 200 girls, the militant organization has been on the spotlight of international and national media of Pakistan. But another Boko Haram which is active in Panjgur district of Balochistan is as usual is ignored by international as well as national media.

Panjur, the south western district of Balochistan bordering Iran is consider as the education hub of the province. Private schools of the backward area imparts premium modern education. English language centers prepare the student of this neglected region for international scholarships. Computer centers have equipped the youth with modern technology. The most impressive thing about this development is that, whatever population of Panjgur have achieved, it has been achieved by the efforts of their own efforts. They have not got the support of the government of Pakistan in creating these valuable education institutions.

Unfortunately, this development in the field of education is not liked by some small minded people. As a result, Tanzeem-ul-Islami- Furqan, hitherto, unknown organization has emerged out of nowhere and threatened the owner of private schools to stop giving vulgar western education to girls, which according to them is prohibited in Islam. In their point of view, it will augment the flow of western culture in their society. The baby organization, which one month before no one knew has become so powerful in short span of time that they not only threatened the propertiers of private schools, but also attack a Van which was carrying female students and ablaze the vehicle.

The motive of the militant definitely was to establish their fear in the hearts of people to stop sending their childrens to schools. As a reaction to this, masses of Panjgur have protested on streets demanding action of the government on Tanzeem- ul-Islami furqan and sent a clear message to the extremist that their unhealthy values will not be acceptable to them nor they will be intimidated by their violent activities.

The question which has puzzled many minds is that how these radical views have spread in the Baloch society which is known for its liberalism. According to Baloch armed resistance groups, Pakistani establishment is trying to spread radicalization in Baloch society to counter their national movement for Free Balochistan, which they claim has the support of the entire Baloch population. Whether the accusation are true or not, but the silence, negligence and unwillingness on the part of government to take action against the extremists is providing strength to these allegations.

If the allegations of Baloch separatists are right, then establishment is making a big mistake. Pakistan now days is in the grip of various problems and at this crucial moment it cannot afford this blunder.

Militant and wrong version of Islam has already made most of the population of the country mentally ill and superstitious. A sitting governor of Punjab Salman Taseer was assassinated by his own guard, Mumtaz Qadri. The reason for the murder of Mr.Taseer was that he spoke for a hapless Christian woman who was accused of Blasphemy. The violent act of Qadri made him a hero over night and people threw flower on him, when he arrived in the court for hearing. The judge who convicted Qadri had to flee from Pakistan to save his life. Fearing an attack from the supporters of Qadri’s ideology. In an similar instance, Rashid Rehman, a renowned social worker and a lawyer was killed, because he took a case of a minority teacher who was accused of Blasphemy by his right wing students. As a result, now no lawyer has the courage to take the case of the teacher, who is merely accused of Blasphemy and not proven guilty yet. This shows the level of intolerance in our society, Very rare journalist even write about these events, fearing they themselves might not be convicted in Blasphemy charges.

Pakistani establishment have used the religion for two reasons. One was to liberate Kashmir from India by using the Jihadis and other was to get strategic depth in Afghanistan, with a aim to increase the influence of Pakistan in the region. This tactic has so far proved to be a disaster for the state. The Kashmiri Jihadis are more influence by TTP rather than the establishment and they have joined hands with TTP in destabilizing Pakistan. Instead of fighting India, they are now targeting Pakistani forces and civilians. They have shattered the dream of liberation of Kashmir and strategic depth in Afghanistan. Pakistan now itself is facing problem is defending its own independence. Former chief of Army staff General Ashfaq Kayani himesl said” The biggest existential threat to Pakistan is now not external but internal. (Referring to TTP)”.

 The extremists have become too strong to be controlled by their masters. They are now demanding the abolishment of the constitution, which they termed as UnIslamic and should be replace by a shariah of their own brand. They are also interfering in  the foreign policy demanding to end the relation with non Muslim countries They have killed the high profile politicians of left wing political parties like ANP , PPP and MQM.

Their power can be judged from the fact that Prime Minister of the country cant speak a word to condemn their wild activities because he knows any hostility with them can result in their backlash in Punjab. The chairmen of the second largest political party of the country Imran Khan has become their spokesperson and have earned a title of Taliban Khan.

The extremists are not limited to FATA, they have spread in different parts of the country including in the commercial hub, Karachi.as well. Taking advantage of the lack of writ of the state they are involve in extortion activities and black mail the business community, who for sake of saving their life, pay huge sum of money to them. Entrepreneurs in large numbers have left the country and shifted their money to foreign countries which has feeble the country.

In short, it can be said that entire Pakistan from Khyber to Karachi is feeling the weight of Taliban’s arm except Balochistan which is indeed a blessing for the state.

The establishment should be aware if radicalization takes place in Balochistan, it will benefit only Taliban in the long run. The geography of Balochistan which comprise of mountains with natural caves to hide will suit the Taliban. As compared to FATA, Balochistan is a very vast land. Pangur district is even bigger than the entire FATA and Chaigai district is bigger than the whole KPK province. Its proximity with Afghanistan will provide Taliban with strategic depth. Biggest city of the country, Karachi is situated near Baloch coast that is the gate way of narco trade, which is premier and favorite business of Taliban and they will easily sell their product to middle east and west,which will make their financial position very sound.

The incumbent government should uplift the ban on YouTube and watch the videos where Taliban have several time offered the Baloch separatist to join hand with them to fight against a common foe. The Baloch insurgents so far have shown no interest in their offer, due to the disparity of the ideology of two groups. But, if people of Balochistan began to share their ideology, then the task of Taliban will accomplished very easily. Balochistan can prove to be a very handy place for Taliban and breeding of Global Terrorism. Pakistan is already a isolated state and with Talibanization in Balochistan , it will be further isolated in the international world.

The wise thing for the state should be to take stringent action against Tanzeem- ul-Islami furqan and fulfill her obligation to provide security to the citizen. If Balochistan comes under the grip of Talibanization, then it can prove to be the waterloo for Pakistan.

 

 

Tuesday, 20 May 2014

Modi's Challenges


The Indian election of 2014 has astounded many. The surprising thing was not that BJP defeated congress, experts long before elections predicted that this time it will be BJP sarkar and Narendra Modi will be the next Prime Minister. The surprise was the clean sweep of BJP. It is the worst defeat congress ever had its 128 years history.

BJP alone has won 283 out of 543; it required merely 272 seats to form its government in the centre, which means it will not require the support of any unruly coalition partner. It is a plus point for Modi, but still he will have to face problems of great magnitude.

Modi has been elected as Chief Minister of Gujarat for four consecutive times and unquestionably he has proved himself as an efficient administrator. But, this time the situation will be totally different. Being a PM of biggest democracy and second populous country of the world will be much more difficult than being a CM of Gujarat.

He will face internal as well as external challenges.

The internal challenge will be how will deal with the religious minorities. Arguably, he is not in the good list of minorities, especially the Muslims. The memories of communal riots of Gujarat (2002) are still fresh in the minds of liberal Indians. He has been blamed for the mass murder of more than one thousand Muslims. Though, he has denied all the charges but he has not expressed any regrets on the massacre of Muslims. He walked away from the program of Karan Thapar( a prominent Indian journalist) when Mr.Thapar  asked him why he didn’t expressed any regrets on the Gujarat riots.

To be a successful ruler, He has to change his radical views and image and has to become a moderate national leader. Success of his government banks heavily on interfaith harmony in India. A fanatic Hindu Modi will tarnish the soft image of India in the international world and it will also be contrary to the secular constitution of his country. He should work in the framework of his country’s constitution.

To adopt a conciliatory policy towards the minorities will not be easy for him. He will be pressurized by Hindu extremist organizations like Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) Vishva Hindu Parishad (VHP). Both these organizations are close ally of BJP and they are followers of the ideology of Nazism. They want to change India from a secular to Hindu state. Modi started his political career from the Platform of RSS. Modi will have a difficult choice whether to appease minorities or his allies like VHP and RSS. He has to display statesmanship qualities to deal with this situation.

Foreign policy regarding the neighboring countries will test his political maturity. Modi should be aware the cardinal reason of congress defeat is slow growth economy, job scarcity and inflation.  Any hostility with the neighbors will be too costly for him. It can be a stumbling block in the path of economic progress. Business community has invested heavily in Modi and enmity or war with neighbor will annoy the entrepreneurs. Any blunder from Modi can result in the exodus of foreign investors and general masses will again suffer from inflation and unemployment.

He should follow the policy of his predecessor Atal Bihari Vajpayee. During the Vajpayee’s tenure good relations between Pakistan and India was on its peak. Political Pandits are of the view that Modi is now a mature politician and he will follow Vajpayee regarding the foreign policy with Pakistan. But, how will he react if a incident like Mumbai take place. He castigated Ex PM Manmohan Singh for not reacting aggressively against Pakistan.

Modi will have no time for rest. America is withdrawing from Afghanistan latter this year. Among all his challenges, Afghanistan policy will be most formidable challenge for him. India’s major concern in Afghanistan is that if Taliban topple the Kabul regime after US departure, Pakistan again will get strategic depth in Afghanistan and it can export Jihadist to Kashmir and also in Internal India. If this happen, Taliban are able to recapture Kabul then it will be do or die situation for India. Modi will be in a dilemma whether to deploy or not Indian soldiers in Afghanistan in the wake of US withdrawn.

All these challenges will test the leadership capabilities of Modi, only time will tell whether he will overcome these hurdles or not.

 

Monday, 12 May 2014

Who is fuelling insurgency in Balochistan?


The fifth insurgency of Balochistan which started in 2006 in the ground of Dera Bugti has now spread in every nook and corner of the province. For eight long years, security forces have failed to crush Baloch Sarmachars (those Baloch who are ready to give their heads for Baloch cause). The question is why writ of government is declining and power of these insurgents is rising and more importantly who is fuelling these insurgents?

From the narrative of Pakistani Government, foreign countries especially India has been given the bulk of criticism. Apart from India, Afghanistan, Israel and occasionally America have also been blamed for creating unrest in Balochistan. Allegations are merely allegations unless they are proved.  So far Pakistani state hasn’t brought any substantial evidence against any of these countries. A common man is unable to comprehend why these foreign powers will support this insurgency.

The ground reality suggests that instead of foreign countries, people inside Pakistan are responsible for spreading insurgency in Balochistan. The question is who have neglected Balochistan and created sense of deprivation in the heart of Baloch people. Was it America India or Israel who have treated Balochistan as their colony and exploited its resources? It is negligence of Islamabad government which has deprived Baloch of their rights and few leaders accepted this by saying sorry to Baloch masses for their negligence.

The ongoing insurgency, which started in the wake of demise of Akbar Bugti and everyone, knows who assassinated him. He was not killed by any foreign troops, but by security forces of Pakistan. The assassination of a 80 years old Baloch leader aggravated the situation and fuelled the insurgency. The decision of murder of Akbar Bugti didn’t take place in New Delhi, Kabul or Washington rather it was made in Islamabad.  Veteran anchorperson, Kamran Khan was right when he said that “slain Akbar Bugti will be more dangerous than alive Akbar Bugti”.

The stupid Kill and dump has added oil to the fire. Owing to this high handedness policy, the hatred against Islamabad has increased among the general masses. This imprudent policy has convinced Baloch that they have no future in Pakistan and ideology of Baloch separatists’ fighters has gained strength.  This unwise strategy has convinced the hoi polloi that Sarmachars are fighting a just war with the occupying forces.

Policy makers are repeating the same mistakes and they are still fuelling the insurgency. On 18 April, 2014 Chairman of Baloch Student Organization (Azad) Zahid Baloch was abducted from Quetta and he is still missing. Those who are involved in his abduction should fathom that killing of Akbar Bugti, Balach Marri and Ghulam Muhammad Baloch have not suppressed the movement, so, will the picking and killing of Zahid Baloch will end their struggle? It will again fuel the insurgency.

In reaction of this incident, Latif Johar, a member of central committee of BSO(Azad) and who is just 23 years old is sitting on Hunger Strike till death since 22 April, 2014 demanding the release of his leader. The valor of the young boy should be extolled, but there are few chances that his demand will be fulfill. It seems the fate of Latif Johar will be same as that of Bobby Sands , who was the member of Irish Republican Army and died of a Hunger strike in a country which is considered the mother of democracy United Kingdom.  

The response of the government and so called national media to the peaceful protest of Latif Johar is the same. No minister neither from national nor provincial assembly has visited the hunger strike camp of Johar and mainstream media has given very little coverage. The health of Johar is deteriorating and it seems that he will die soon and with his demise the insurgency will be further fuelled.

 Before Latif Johar, Mama Qadeer walked 2500 Km as a protest to release missing persons, but not even a single person was released. Same will happen again with Johar’s protest. After his death Baloch people will contemplate that peaceful and democratic protest is futile in this undemocratic country. As a result more people will be influenced by the ideology of Baloch separatists that armed struggle is the only option in this state.

The elected PM Nawaz Sharif is powerless to do anything on this issue, but those who have power they could hear the voice of young Latif Johar, who said” I can’t kill or torture any one because my organization has taught me humanity but it is my right to do whatever I want to do with myself. I am torturing myself for the release of my leader”. But they will never hear him because humanity is a extinct word in their dictionary.